Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.025011 0.027490 0.029952 0.032578 0.035292 0.038010 0.040934
2025-02-02 0.020163 0.024125 0.028186 0.032632 0.037338 0.042149 0.047419
2025-02-09 0.016178 0.021012 0.026111 0.031822 0.037982 0.044377 0.051475
2025-02-16 0.013832 0.019331 0.025277 0.032058 0.039477 0.047267 0.055992
2025-02-23 0.011737 0.017700 0.024307 0.031971 0.040464 0.049466 0.059629
2025-03-02 0.009857 0.016133 0.023266 0.031678 0.041111 0.051198 0.062662
2025-03-09 0.008336 0.014851 0.022445 0.031540 0.041847 0.052952 0.065646
2025-03-16 0.006703 0.013283 0.021187 0.030820 0.041861 0.053853 0.067641
2025-03-23 0.005690 0.012406 0.020684 0.030913 0.042741 0.055664 0.070589
2025-03-30 0.004561 0.011262 0.019788 0.030493 0.042994 0.056740 0.072691
2025-04-06 0.003435 0.009988 0.018656 0.029738 0.042818 0.057300 0.074187
2025-04-13 0.002264 0.008458 0.017106 0.028416 0.041937 0.057029 0.074723
2025-04-20 0.001825 0.008108 0.017181 0.029202 0.043673 0.059893 0.078968
2025-04-27 0.001192 0.007306 0.016642 0.029253 0.044590 0.061884 0.082305
2025-05-04 0.000517 0.006119 0.015484 0.028479 0.044495 0.062696 0.084298
2025-05-11 0.000221 0.005552 0.015145 0.028705 0.045561 0.064812 0.087735
2025-05-18 0.000022 0.004882 0.014594 0.028622 0.046229 0.066446 0.090602
2025-05-25 NaN 0.004179 0.013922 0.028342 0.046630 0.067748 0.093072
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003603 0.013387 0.028209 0.047186 0.069209 0.095702
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002852 0.012471 0.027521 0.047031 0.069819 0.097342
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002471 0.012143 0.027610 0.047818 0.071515 0.100205
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001953 0.011484 0.027209 0.047974 0.072453 0.102186
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001395 0.010627 0.026488 0.047704 0.072869 0.103549